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Conservation Science and Practice

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Conservation Science and Practice's content profile, based on 15 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Birds protected in Europe, overlooked in Africa: conservation synergies between African primates and wintering Afro-Palearctic migratory birds

Kiribou, I. A. R.; Mucyo, J. P. S.; Kazaba, P. K.; Kamga, S. M.; Kuehl, H. S.; Junker, J.; Sasse, T.; Heinicke, S.

2026-07-21 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.20.739569 medRxiv
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Primates are frequent targets of international conservation efforts, due to their anthropological significance and function as biodiversity conservation flagship species. Afro-Palearctic migratory birds receive considerable conservation attention in their breeding habitats, but much less in their wintering areas. Good wintering habitat conditions are, however, crucial for long-term population viability. Integrating complementary conservation efforts for these taxa may provide substantial co-benefits. Here, we evaluate the spatial, ecological, and conservation congruence between 248 Afro-Palearctic migratory bird and 213 African primate species to identify potential synergies in intercontinental conservation efforts. The wintering areas of 218 migratory bird species overlap with primate ranges. Up to 125 Afro-Palearctic migratory bird species co-occur with at least one primate species locally and highest regional cross-taxon richness occurs in forest-savanna ecotones in West Africa and eastern DRC. Agriculture and hunting threaten both taxa (88-97% of primate and 59-70% of bird species). Several conservation interventions have demonstrated effectiveness for both taxa, particularly habitat protection and hunting reduction. We propose three policy priorities: strengthening cross-taxa monitoring within existing primate research infrastructure, improving the conservation evidence base in the African context, and creating financing synergies that allow conservation investments to simultaneously benefit both taxa.

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Blockages to biodiversity data access for conservation and sustainability management

Stephenson, P. J.; Unter, K. M. M.; Walls, J. L.; Moncada, J. A. A.; Sawyerr, L.; Londono Murcia, M. C.; Ntiamoa-Baidu, Y.; Fumagalli, L.

2026-06-16 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.13.732021 medRxiv
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Governments, civil society organizations and businesses often lack the biodiversity data they need for decision-making and adaptive management, impacting their planning, reporting and performance. We explored the biodiversity data needs of such actors in Colombia, Ghana and Switzerland to identify factors affecting data availability and use. Responses to questionnaire surveys showed that the data types with the biggest gaps between user needs and access were progress on conservation or sustainability actions, species populations, habitat state and ecological risk. The most frequent data blockages related to inadequate resources and organizational capacity. Obstacles significantly associated with a lack of primary data included an absence of organizational biodiversity goals and monitoring systems. Problems accessing habitat quality and species abundance data were associated with data collection methods being unknown or unavailable. Businesses were more likely than other groups to need data on threats, perhaps reflecting the increasing importance of environmental risk to the corporate sector. Businesses are less likely to collect primary data or use secondary data and are significantly more likely to be unclear on what biodiversity indicators to use. Non-business organizations are significantly more likely to be unable to access data because of a lack of funding for data collection, analysis, and use. Our results highlight the need for stakeholders across sectors to work together to find common solutions to build and invest in monitoring capacity that unblocks the flow of biodiversity data.

3
Global threat abatement potential for terrestrial vertebrates

Ridley, F. A.; Bennun, L.; Brooks, T. M.; Butchart, S. H. M.; Dales, M. W.; Hawkins, F.; Jimenez, R. R.; Macfarlane, N. B. W.; Mcgowan, P. J.; Starnes, T.; Tarr, S.; Turner, J. A.; Baisero, D.; Chanson, J.; Cox, N.; Menon, V.; Neam, K.; Pacifici, M.; Rodriguez, A.; Rodriguez, J. P.; Rondinini, C.; Mair, L.

2026-06-16 zoology 10.64898/2026.06.12.731583 medRxiv
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1.AimThe Species Threat Abatement and Restoration (STAR) metric was developed to support setting and measuring progress towards science-based targets for species conservation, in alignment with the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. The STAR metric quantifies the potential reduction in species global extinction risk achievable through actions to abate threats (START) and restore habitat (STARR). The STAR metric is used across multiple sectors to assess contributions to nature-positive species outcomes and implement action for biodiversity. Here we present a substantially enhanced global estimate of START for terrestrial vertebrates. Developed in response to user demand, this work integrates advancements in methodology and data quality, increased spatial resolution, and addition of reptile species. LocationGlobal Time PeriodCurrent Major taxa studiedTerrestrial vertebrates MethodsSTART was estimated at 1km2 resolution for 9,100 species of threatened and Near Threatened birds, mammals, amphibians and reptiles, using IUCN Red List assessments (version 2025-1) and area of habitat (AOH) maps generated using an advanced data-driven methodology and satellite-derived land-cover data. AOH maps were validated using a two-stage protocol using species observation data. ResultsThe six countries with the highest estimated START scores, and therefore the largest individual potential to reduce global extinction risk via tackling threats nationally were Brazil, Madagascar, Indonesia, Mexico, Ecuador and Colombia (each contributing over 5% of global estimated START). The threat with the greatest individual potential to reduce extinction risk was annual and perennial non-timber crops (21.2% of global START). Main conclusionsTargeted actions to tackle a few high-impact threats in a few discrete locations, and cumulative effort across multiple areas with lower individual potential, are both required to meaningfully reduce species extinction risk through threat abatement. This global scale estimation of START enables consistent scoping of conservation opportunity over large areas and provides the critical initial data to support planning and action.

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Operationalizing site-level conservation for migratory birds across the Americas' flyways

Linero Triana, D.; Seavy, N. E.; Aparicio, S.; Carrillo-Restrepo, J. C.; Clay, R.; Crow, O.; De Luca, W. V.; Gates, R.; Jones, V.; Lesterhuis, A.; Michel, N. L.; Seager, M.; Toscano, M. G.; Valdes-Uribe, J.; Velasquez, M.; Velasquez-Tibata, J.

2026-08-13 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.12.744493 medRxiv
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Conserving migratory birds effectively requires full annual cycle strategies that identify where on-the-ground efforts can have the greatest impact. Here, we present a hemispheric spatial framework to identify priority areas for 112 migratory bird species across the Americas. Building on full annual cycle prioritizations, we defined finer-scale spatial planning units that reflect differences in migratory and congregational behaviors between shorebirds and landbirds. We compiled population data for each planning unit and focal species and applied conservation planning tools to design area-efficient portfolios of sites and landscapes that secure 10% of each species population within the Americas flyways. The resulting minimum area portfolios include 175 shorebird sites and 80 landbird landscapes optimized to meet the species-specific 10% representation targets across breeding, non-breeding, and passage seasons. We also identified a broader set of complementary solutions, ranked by an importance score, to provide decision-makers with flexible options for strategic resource allocation. This framework provides the scientific foundation for the Americas Flyways Initiative (AFI), which aims to catalyze investment in nature-based solutions and bird-friendly infrastructure to enhance the conservation of migratory birds and strengthen the resilience of the Americas flyways by 2050.

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Mapping human-macaque encounter potential by integrating visitor-use and macaque-use intensity in Kamikochi, Japan

Otani, Y.; Tsuchihashi, A.; Sugita, S.; Fukui, H.; Shikano, Y.; Matsumoto, T.

2026-07-31 zoology 10.64898/2026.07.30.741901 medRxiv
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Managing visitor-wildlife interactions in high-use protected areas requires identifying not only where visitors concentrate but also where visitor use overlaps with wildlife space use. We estimated relative human- macaque encounter potential in Kamikochi, Chubu Sangaku National Park, Japan, where Japanese macaques (Macaca fuscata) and visitors use the same frontcountry landscape. We integrated Mobile Spatial Statistics derived from mobile phone network data, trail-camera counts, and direct-follow location data from macaques along a frontcountry-backcountry gradient. Broad-scale 500-m grid estimates of daytime visitor presence for the 2023 and 2024 open seasons were allocated to 50-m trail sections and adjusted using counts from 10 trail cameras. Automated video counts based on YOLO11 and ByteTrack showed high agreement with manual counts of 100 validation videos (MAE = 0.10 persons/video, MAPE = 1.26%, exact agreement rate = 92.0%). Visitor-use and macaque-use data were converted into kernel density surfaces, and encounter potential was calculated as their normalized product. High encounter potential was concentrated in the central frontcountry: 87.1% of areas with index values [≥] 0.9 fell within the frontcountry and 12.9% within the backcountry. Areas with high visitor use or high macaque use alone did not necessarily show high encounter potential when the two distributions were spatially offset. These results show that spatial overlap provides management information not captured by visitor counts alone. Relative encounter potential can help prioritize patrols, visitor messaging, viewing management, and other interventions in protected areas where wildlife does not consistently avoid heavily used visitor spaces.

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The knowledge landscape of jaguar science: rapid growth, thematic structure, and regional inequalities

Elias, M. A. M.; Soares, P. T.; Diniz-Filho, J. A. F.; de Almeida Jacomo, A. T.; Silveira, T. J.; Silveira, L.

2026-08-21 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.17.745206 medRxiv
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Understanding how scientific effort is distributed is essential for evaluating the evidence available to guide species conservation. We assessed the temporal, thematic, methodological, and spatial organization of jaguar (Panthera onca) research across the species range. Using 1,028 bibliographic records, we applied a metadata-based scope filter, defining a primary analytical corpus of 857 articles and an inclusive sensitivity corpus of 989. We analyzed publication growth from 1946-2024, author-keyword networks, high-specificity research-domain and methodological indicators, article-based spatial concentration across nine regions, and anthropogenic context using the Human Impact Index. Publication output increased strongly and nonlinearly, with the negative-binomial generalized additive model explaining 96% of deviance. Population and abundance, human-wildlife conflict and coexistence, and movement and connectivity were the most frequent research domains, whereas camera trapping was the most frequent methodological approach. Spatial analyses included 237 georeferenced terrestrial articles. Research was strongly concentrated in the Pantanal, Mesoamerica, and Atlantic Forest, but was underrepresented relative to range area in the Andes and Choco-Darien, Amazon, and Guiana Shield. These patterns were stable to the broader scope definition. Research concentration showed no strong association with region-wide anthropogenic pressure, although studies within several extensive regions tended to occur in more human-influenced portions than the regional average. Jaguar research therefore shows substantial growth and partial alignment with applied conservation challenges but remains geographically uneven. Expanding representative research in underrepresented regions, while maintaining work in threatened landscapes, would strengthen the evidence base for range-wide conservation planning and improve coordination among countries, institutions, and regional research traditions.

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What we miss shapes what we protect: sea turtles as a case study of grey literature and language bias in an evidence synthesis

Heng, H. W. K.; Buenafe, K. C. V.; Restrepo, J.; Nisthar, D.; Amano, T.; Pilcher, N.; Chu, T. C.; Trong, D. N.; Ellis Arnett, R.; Fong, C.-L.; Herandarudewi, S. M. C.; Hoh, D. Z.; Long, S. L.; Ng, C. K. Y.; Panyawai, J.; Dunn, D. C.

2026-07-20 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.17.739284 medRxiv
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Evidence-based approaches are increasingly advocated and applied in conservation to provide reliable recommendations for management and policymaking. Although substantial efforts have been undertaken to generate ecological knowledge across languages and publication types, many syntheses and meta-analyses fail to include relevant literature sources; drawing into question their reliability. To assess the extent of biases resulting from ignoring grey literature and non-English publications, we reviewed and synthesised movement and migratory connectivity data for green turtles across Southeast Asia from multiple literature types and eight languages. We identified substantial losses in connectivity information, with at least half of all locations losing more than 88% of their connections, and shifts in demographic representation and sampling techniques when grey literature was excluded from the evidence base. The exclusion of non-English literature had a comparatively smaller impact. The regional connectivity network generated through this study highlights the need for holistic reviews to develop evidence bases to underpin transboundary management of migratory species. Ignoring grey literature and, potentially, regional languages in the development may lead to misallocation of limited management resources. Holistic reviews can further support the establishment of Important Areas for migratory species and inform how we meet and report on global biodiversity commitments.

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Ecological dynamics and stability in the Taï and Comoe national parks in Cote dIvoire

Kouakou, J.-L.; Assemien Cyrille-Joseph, A.; Alphonse, Y. K.; Ouattara, A.; Diarrassouba, A.; Gonedele-Bi, S.

2026-08-20 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.12.744377 medRxiv
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The accelerated loss of biodiversity in sub-Saharan Africa threatens the functioning of tropical ecosystems. In Cote dIvoire, the Comoe National Park (PNCOMOE), a Sudano-Guinean savannah, and the Tai National Park (PNTAI), a dense rainforest, both UNESCO World Heritage Sites, are home to fauna assemblages of global importance, whose long-term resilience remains insufficiently quantified. This study assesses and compares, over a decade (2014-2025), the functional stability of vertebrate communities in these two contrasting ecosystems, using nine metrics covering resistance, invariance, persistence, interspecific synchrony, Tilmans stability, Jacobian resilience and a Composite Stability Index (CSI). Abundance data for 107 vertebrate species were collected via foot transects at PNTAI and aerial surveys at PNCOMOE. The stability metrics were calculated using the R package estar, integrated with an alpha diversity analysis (Shannon H', species richness S, Pielous evenness J') and a Jacobian spectral analysis within a multidimensional ecological assessment. PNTAI (0.708) exhibits significantly higher alpha diversity (H' = 2.82; S = 55.7 taxa) and community resilience 4.6 times higher than in the PNCOMOE (0.153). Its interspecific asynchrony index (0.504) reveals a strong portfolio effect, absent in the PNCOMOE (0.232). In contrast, PNCOMOE exhibits higher temporal invariance (0.382 versus 0.116) and Tilman stability (0.276 versus 0.152), reflecting more predictable dynamics. The overall ICS favours the PNTAI (0.484) and (0.370). The Jacobian analysis detects local instability in both parks (Re({lambda}max) = 5.58 at the PNTAI; 3.73 at the PNCOMOE). The two parks exhibit distinct yet complementary stability architectures: PNTAI relies on dynamic stability based on resilience and interspecific compensation, whilst PNCOMOE demonstrates conservative stability through temporal regularity. The absence of calculable resilience at PNCOMOE suggests a potential crossing of a functional degradation threshold, arguing for urgent restoration interventions and differentiated conservation strategies, tailored to the resilience mechanisms specific to each ecosystem.

9
Rapid population decline of Egyptian fruit bats on Cyprus

Dechmann, D. K. N.; Akre, K. L.; de Wit, L. A.; Kafkaletou Diez, A. G. G.; Mandl, I.; Makridou, Z.; Michael, K.; O'Mara, M. T.; Papastylianou, K.; Wikelski, M.; Frick, W. F.

2026-06-08 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.05.728241 medRxiv
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Preventing extirpations requires timely detection of rapid declines and immediate conservation response. Egyptian fruit bats (Rousettus aegyptiacus) are globally listed as Least Concern, but their genetically isolated population in Cyprus is Critically Endangered. We document a severe ongoing decline of the Cypriot R. aegyptiacus population observed during standardized counts at major roost sites. April 2024 counts at four principal roosts recorded 4633 bats. Surveys in December 2025 documented 554 individuals across the same sites. April 2026 counts revealed a 90.1% decline since April 2024. Additionally, we found numerous dead bats at three roosts, and residents across the island reported dead bats, suggesting an acute mortality event beginning in early 2025. The cause remains unknown. Given the magnitude and pace of decline, this population potentially faces imminent extirpation. We recommend immediate action to protect roosting and foraging habitat, along with coordinated diagnostics, expedited research permits, standardized monitoring, and technical collaboration to identify and mitigate underlying causes of high mortality.

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Conservation of declining Florida ecosystems is critical for an at-risk butterfly

Johnson, A.; Walsh, R. L.; Foquet, B.; Daniels, J. C.; Guralnick, R. P.; Kawahara, A. Y.

2026-08-05 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.04.742755 medRxiv
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Assessing the availability of protected habitats for at-risk species is needed to determine how the spatial distribution of land cover and land use shapes conservation outcomes. The Loammi skipper (Atrytonopsis loammi) is a nonmigratory, prairie-associated butterfly that has experienced a significant reduction in its formerly widespread southeastern United States distribution over the past several decades. Observations in recent years have been limited to a small number of isolated Florida populations, and it is unclear how much suitable habitat remains and what proportion of that habitat is protected. Here we used publicly available community science data and collected specimens to identify the predominant land cover types occupied by A. loammi. We then quantified the extent to which each of these land cover types overlap with protected areas to estimate the proportion of the butterflys current distribution that occurs on managed conservation lands. Our findings show that A. loammi relies heavily on protected lands, with over half of the total area of the most strongly associated habitats located within protected areas. Given the continued expansion of human-modified landscapes in Florida and the reliance of A. loammi on protected lands, the long-term persistence of A. loammi will likely depend on the conservation and effective management of its remaining suitable habitat. Implications for insect conservationOur results highlight the critical role of protected areas in sustaining at-risk insect populations, particularly for species with limited dispersal and shrinking ranges. More broadly, they suggest that conserving and restoring protected habitats while maintaining connectivity are essential strategies for effective insect conservation in rapidly developing regions.

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Fishery Cooperatives as Institutional Intermediaries in Fragile Contexts: Assessing Social-Ecological Resilience in South-Central Somalia

Madar, A. A.; Hadaaf, O. H.

2026-07-28 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.25.740677 medRxiv
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Small-scale fisheries provide essential coastal livelihoods in developing regions, yet they often confront severe institutional voids within fragile-state contexts. Adopting a social-ecological systems framework, this study addresses three sequential objectives: characterizing the contemporary institutional and demographic status of fishery cooperatives across the five South-Central Federal Member States in comparison to their late-1980s historical peak; ranking the socio-economic, infrastructural, regulatory, and environmental impediments to cooperative efficacy; and evaluating the contributions of these cooperatives to sustainable fisheries development. This investigation analyzes how fishery cooperatives act as institutional intermediaries to bolster economic resilience within the Somali coastal economy--a sector central to the National Transformation Plan, despite persistent regulatory fragmentation. Through semi-structured qualitative interviews with key informants--analyzed via reflexive thematic analysis and chi-square testing of age-cohort structure--the study finds that illegal, unreported, and unregulated fishing and inadequate post-harvest infrastructure are the principal constraints, whereas training, education, and community collaboration constitute the primary contributions. The results characterize these cooperatives as hybrid institutions that compensate for limited central-state capacity in remote coastal settlements while serving as intermediaries for the Federal Ministry of Fisheries and Blue Economy where co-management mandates are implemented. By extending the actor-community dimension of the SES framework to include age-cohort structure, this research demonstrates that clan-based reciprocal arrangements can serve as functional substitutes for Ostroms first design principle in contexts of persistent fragility. The study recommends multi-stakeholder partnerships to advance targeted capacity-building, financial literacy, and technological integration, and suggests future research into the post-harvest and retail sectors to examine the role of women in the Somali blue economy.

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Under-sampled KBAs, over-sampled roadsides: integrating historical and contemporary records of Malagasy bees

Quesada, D.; Leclercq, N.; Marshall, L.; Clark, C. E. D.; Razakamiaramanana, A.; Vereecken, N. J.

2026-08-24 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.23.746540 medRxiv
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Madagascar hosts exceptional biodiversity and endemism, yet its native bee fauna remains poorly characterised. We assembled and cleaned the first comprehensive occurrence dataset for Malagasy bees, reducing 10,721 raw records to 4,071 validated occurrences covering 218 georeferenced species of the 224 checklist species across six families (89.3% endemic). Despite near-complete checklist coverage, the dataset remains critically sparse for Madagascar's size, with most species documented by only a few records. Sampling was highly uneven across taxa: most genera were underrepresented while a few were disproportionately sampled due to ecological prevalence, detectability, and collector specialisation. Spatial concentration within limited grid cells amplified these biases. Temporally, effort varied markedly, with historical peaks driven by individual collectors and a post-2010 shift toward Apidae-dominated records. Spatially, 79.9% of 25x25 km grid cells intersecting Madagascar held no bee records, and 77.1% of records fell within 2.5 km of roads, mirroring global sampling patterns. Sampling clustered near major cities, with common species consistently found near roads and rare species spread across wider distance ranges. Among 231 Key Biodiversity Areas (KBAs), 68.4% were entirely unsampled; sampled KBAs held only 26.7% of all records, and sampling remained uneven even there, leaving substantial undetected diversity across most sites. These results reveal pervasive temporal, spatial, taxonomic, and collector-driven biases, underscoring the need for targeted surveys within KBAs and beyond roadsides to improve coverage of data-deficient species and strengthen conservation assessments.

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Characterizing multiple dimensions of climate hazards for conservation planning: a case study of estuaries in the Pacific Northwest

Marcus, R.; Shackelford, N.; Singh, G. G.

2026-08-04 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.03.741880 medRxiv
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Incorporating the complexities of climate change into conservation planning can be challenging. Climate change is projected to change the mean and variability of temperature and precipitation, and change dynamics of extreme events of many climate variables globally. These changes will all have compounding effects on ecosystems worldwide, affecting species distributions, seasonal timings, and population dynamics. However, most recent climate-informed conservation planning frameworks only focus on changes in mean conditions, leaving out ecologically important information about seasonality and extreme events. Using a case study of estuaries in the Pacific Northwest, this research seeks to answer the question "How can the effects of climate change on estuaries best be modelled and described for practical use in ecological management?" To answer this question, we used downscaled climate projection data to estimate changes in the mean and variability of temperature and precipitation. Applying extreme value theory to these projection data, we also projected changes in the magnitude of extremes in temperature and precipitation for estuaries in the region. Using descriptive statistics and open source data, our results present a novel, holistic method of understanding climate risk, including estimating extreme events, highlighting a key research gap in conservation planning. These results also highlight that trends in the mean, variability, and magnitude of climate extremes are not consistent with each other, further underscoring the importance of considering multiple dimensions of climate change together. Despite uncertainty given by climate models, the methods presented here provide a reasonable approach to plan for conservation management in the face of climate uncertainty.

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Biodiversity data portals as methodological filters for iNaturalist: how platform choice can shape biodiversity assessments

Edson, E.; Ellis-Soto, D.; Hill, A. P.; Johnson, R. F.

2026-06-16 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.12.731923 medRxiv
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iNaturalist has rapidly grown to become one of the largest contributors of global biodiversity data, being widely used in academic research, to support and inform applied conservation, and to help develop policy indicators for decision makers. However, the availability of iNaturalist data varies based on the digital platform it is accessed from. Here, we assess whether the pathway used to access iNaturalist data from three commonly available biodiversity data sources: iNaturalist, the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) and ESRIs ArcGIS Online, alters occurrence record availability and downstream analyses for ecological inference. First, we investigate iNaturalist data availability on ArcGIS Online and find that the reduced field metadata for record location and obscuration information can lead to biased assumptions in the spatial ranges of sensitive species. Second, when assessing iNaturalist records available through GBIF, we find that restrictive Creative Commons observation licenses prevent an average of 26.1% of iNaturalist Research Grade records from being exported to GBIF, and this can lead to differences in environmental niche analysis when compared to datasets including all available research grade records. Understanding differences in platform licensing when integrating across biodiversity data repositories is another consideration for researchers and practitioners when conducting biodiversity assessments. Our results show that the pathway through which iNaturalist data are accessed can function as a methodological filter, potentially altering spatial coverage, the climatic conditions represented by occurrence datasets, and downstream ecological analysis.

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Closing the biodiversity observation-to-action loop

Yamaguchi, K.; Uchida, K.; Hiraiwa, M.; Fukano, Y.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.27.747669 medRxiv
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Citizen science observations are abundant, but conservation requires turning uneven records into reliable predictions and directing new surveys to where information is missing. We developed a biodiversity platform for Japan that is updated monthly and integrates 2.32 million records to predict 8,297 species across seven taxonomic groups. Shared representation models outperformed species-specific models in four groups and extended predictions to species with few records. Five independent datasets, including structured monitoring, environmental DNA and complete forest inventories, confirmed that the models ranked observed species and occupied sites above alternatives, with median AUCs of 0.724 to 0.894 across sites and 0.650 to 0.841 across species. For any user-selected area, the platform returns candidate species, distribution predictions, a biodiversity map corrected for uneven observation effort, a conservation priority map for native species and a map recommending where to survey next. This map highlights places where species with few records are predicted to occur despite limited sampling. Independent observations showed that areas ranked highly by this predicted potential contained many such species, indicating that model predictions can help direct surveys toward knowledge gaps. New observations are incorporated into monthly updates, creating a national feedback system connecting citizen science, local conservation decisions and future surveys.

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Exploring the use of state of nature metrics to screen global business operations for ecological sensitivity and to select priority sites for disclosure

Boakes, E. H.; Butchart, S. H. M.; Cierna, A.; Dunn, K.; Dimitrijevic, J.; Hawkins, F.; Jackson, O.; Le Marquand, J.; Mordue, S.; Gregory, R.

2026-08-26 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.25.747065 medRxiv
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Businesses are increasingly encouraged to disclose their nature-related dependencies, impacts, risks and opportunities. A common component of sustainability reporting is screening operational sites for ecologically sensitivity to identify locations for further evaluation and action. However, with 600+ biodiversity metrics available, selecting and interpreting appropriate metrics remains challenging for business. We developed a simple screening framework informed by the Taskforce for Nature-Related Financial Disclosures guidance, grouping eleven widely used global biodiversity metrics into four complementary [&prime]baskets[&prime], representing different aspects of biodiversity. We created hypothetical but realistic mining, onshore wind energy and agricultural companies, to assess how metric choice, buffer size, scoring approach and sensitivity thresholds influence screening outcomes. Our basket framework consistently identified similar high-priority sites across metric combinations, but site rankings varied with methodological choices. We recommend clearer guidance on metric selection and application, alongside greater transparency from business regarding assumptions, methods and limitations when screening sites for ecological sensitivity.

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Biodiversity knowledge and conservation shortfalls in Rivulidae fishes

Costa, J. H. A. d.; Guedes, G. H. S.

2026-07-06 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.04.736495 medRxiv
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The biodiversity crisis is exacerbated by persistent gaps in taxonomic, geographic, and conservation knowledge. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of Linnean, Wallacean, and conservation shortfalls in Rivulidae (Cyprinodontiformes), one of the most diverse families of Neotropical freshwater fishes. To this end, an extensive dataset was compiled, comprising 494 valid species, 51 synonyms, 3,419 occurrence records, and information on life cycle, distribution, and conservation status. The Linnean shortfall remains open: after 1975, the rate of species description increased sharply, and estimates indicate that 103 species remain undescribed (95% CI: 53-212). The year of species description was influenced by detectability and accessibility factors, with larger species, more widely distributed species, and species occurring in more densely populated areas being described earlier. The Wallacean shortfall was broad and spatially uneven: only 5.34% of the region was considered adequately sampled. The conservation shortfall was also substantial: 179 species are threatened with extinction, 69 species remain Not Evaluated, and 62 are Data Deficient. The mean time between taxonomic description and first IUCN extinction-risk assessment was 25.7 years. Moreover, 59.9% of species have no records within protected areas, including 69.3% of threatened species. These findings synthesize an urgent challenge: biodiversity knowledge and conservation shortfalls must be overcome simultaneously to protect species that are still being discovered, remain poorly documented spatially, and are restricted to habitats under intense anthropogenic pressure. The conservation of Rivulidae cannot wait for complete knowledge; action amid uncertainty is necessary to prevent both known and unknown species from disappearing.

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There is no silver bullet: Tiger corridors do not ensure multispecies carnivore connectivity

Rana, D.; Ramakrishnan, U.

2026-07-06 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.05.736645 medRxiv
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Connectivity is critical to sustaining endangered carnivores in speciose yet fragmented landscapes such as in the global south. Corridors to mitigate fragmentation are designed based on charismatic species or habitat-based approaches, but their multispecies effectiveness for maintaining functional connectivity remains poorly tested. We combined landscape genetic analyses across five sympatric carnivores - Panthera tigris, Panthera pardus, Prionailurus viverrinus, Felis chaus, and Melursus ursinus, to evaluate how landscape features shape functional connectivity in a globally important felid landscape. We then assessed the efficiency of existing tiger corridors and single-species surrogates for maintaining multispecies functional connectivity. Species exhibited contrasting responses to landscape variables, producing distinct resistance surfaces and connectivity corridors. Spatial similarity of connectivity between species pairs was highly variable (r = 0.14-0.93), but no single species effectively captured connectivity patterns of the broader carnivore community (maximum mean overlap of <0.7 across species). Moreover, genetically optimized corridors were at least 70% more efficient in capturing connectivity compared to existing tiger corridors, demonstrating mismatches between structural and functional connectivity. Our results highlight limitations of surrogate-based corridor planning and demonstrate that integrating multispecies functional connectivity can substantially improve conservation planning in human-dominated landscapes.

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Large scale application of species distribution models to predict future vulnerability to social wasp invasions

Hagan, T.; Miller, S. E.

2026-08-11 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.10.744014 medRxiv
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Social wasps (family: Vespidae) are increasingly concerning invaders and have been subject to increased detections and a growing number of invasive populations in the last few decades. As established invasive populations are challenging to eradicate, preventing introductions and prioritizing early interventions are the most cost-effective management solutions to mitigate these effects. A current challenge to this approach is that species distribution data is limited for many social wasp species, hindering our ability to accurately predict novel habitats with high suitability. To address this gap, we used MAXENT to create species distribution models (SDM) for 299 species of social vespid. We identified existing invasive populations of social wasps and incorporated their current invasive ranges to improve the transferability of our models in predicting habitat suitability in new environments. Current range sizes and habitat suitability varied widely among species and genera. We identified new species of high invasive concern, particularly in the genus Vespa. We also identified previously unrecognized regions that may be at high risk of future invasion primarily in Central Africa and the Indo-Australian Archipelago. Combining current and suitable ranges, we calculated an "Invasion Risk Score" to compare the relative likelihood of each species establishing a new invasive population based upon habitat suitability. To assess invasion risk in the future, we projected habitat suitability under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate change scenarios. Under all scenarios, species faced significant changes in habitat suitability for current native ranges. Habitat suitability generally shrank and shifted towards the poles, leaving equatorial species at highest risk of habitat loss. Notably, Vespa was the only genus whose suitable habitat expanded under these climate scenarios. Our framework demonstrates how multi-species SDMs can be applied to risk management of invasive populations.

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How well is Italian biodiversity represented in red lists and conservation legislation? Taxonomic biases, coverage gaps and the assessment-to-legislation bottleneck

Miccolis, E.; Rasotto, M. B.; De Pascale, F.; Pievani, T.

2026-07-01 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.30.730850 medRxiv
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Italy, one of Europe's most biodiverse countries, is expected to undergo landscape-wide nature recovery thanks to the EU Nature Restoration Regulation. National red lists represent critical instruments for informing conservation strategies at finer geographic resolutions and prioritizing taxa of national importance; yet the taxonomic completeness of Italian red lists remains unquantified in relation to national biodiversity. Equally, no systematic evaluation has been conducted on the representation of threatened and endemic Italian taxa within European and international conservation directives and treaties. We present the first comprehensive review of threat status and policy inclusion of Italian biodiversity, encompassing animals, plants, fungi, lichens, and algae. We cross-referenced national species checklists with Italian, European, Mediterranean, and global IUCN red lists, alongside policy annexes from the Birds and Habitats Directives, the Bern and Barcelona Conventions, and CITES. Our dataset comprised 76,845 taxa, of which 8,389 are endemic; yet red list assessments exist for only 10% of this total (7,349 taxa, including 1,700 endemics). Conservation policy coverage is even more restrictive: only 1,346 taxa are listed under at least one legislative instrument, with only half of these classified as threatened. This constitutes a compounding double bottleneck with most of the Italian biodiversity remaining both unassessed and unprotected and systematically biasing conservation policy toward an unrepresentative fraction of national biodiversity. We recommend accelerated national assessments and urgent establishment of a national biodiversity priority list founded on transparent prioritization protocols. This would complement ecosystem-based interventions mandated by the Nature Restoration Regulation while correcting for vertebrate-centred biases.